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Markets for Cancer
Cancer is a very fast-growing market owing to the high incidence of the
disease - approximately one in three people will develop cancer in their
lifetime. Cancer is not one disease, it is many with major differences
in prognosis and responsiveness to treatment depending upon which organ,
tissue or cell type is involved. The other source of variability is the
stage which the tumour has reached before diagnosis with metastatic tumours
being the most difficult to treat. Cancer treatment is conventionally
based upon three therapeutic modalities:
Surgery
Radiotherapy
Chemotherapy
Drugs
used to treat cancer are generally inhibitors of cell growth or division
that are inherently cytotoxic, but affect the more rapidly dividing cancer
cells more than normal cells. Combination chemotherapy is the norm. The
best drug combinations and how these should be used alongside surgery
and radiotherapy are determined by clinical research that largely takes
place after a new drug is marketed.
The
leading product in PDT for cancer is Photofrin (porfirin sodium, QLT),
a complex mixture of porphyrins first approved by the FDA in 1998 for
the treatment of oesophageal cancer not satisfactorily treated by lasers
alone. Its clinical use has been limited by the profound and lasting photosensitivity
which patients experience following its use. Porfirin sodium is registered
world wide in oesophageal and lung cancer and in certain individual territories
for bladder, gastric and cervical cancer. It has also been trialled and
may ultimately be registered in a number of other cancers. In 1999 sales
of porfirin sodium were just $11million, of which around 80% was in the
US.
The most advanced product amongst second generation PDT for cancer is
Foscan (temoporfin), developed by Scotia for head and neck cancers. It
was recently approved on appeal by the EMEA, but its further development
has been hindered by financial difficulties at Scotia. A third product,
verteporfin, is under development by QLT for patients with non-melanoma
skin cancer.
It seems reasonable to define the market for PDT in cancer
in terms of these cancers.
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Cancer
type
|
Gross
incidence pa
|
Suitable
for PDT
|
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Head and
neck (oral cavity, larynx, pharynx and oesophagus
|
150,000 w/w based upon a US
incidence of 17.7 per 100,000 |
Estimated 10% = 15,000 |
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Lung cancer
|
500,000 w/w based upon a US
incidence of approximately 170,000 |
Estimated 10% = 50,0000 |
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Bladder
|
150,000 based upon a US incidence
of 53,000 |
5% = 7,500 |
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Gastric
|
Second most common cancer in
Far East 120,000 pa in Japan. Less common in West but w/w incidence
must exceed 300,000 pa |
Estimated 10% = 30,000 |
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Cervical
|
40,000 based upon a US incidence
of around 13,000 |
Estimated 10% = 4000 |
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Non melanoma
skin
|
500,000 |
Estimated 80,000 |
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Barrett's
oesophagus
(pre-cancerous)
|
1 million US |
5% =50,000 |
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Total potential
patients
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= 164,500 pa |
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Table:
potential PDT cancer market
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Sources:
PDT Inc, SEER Cancer stats and various others. Estimates by
First Instar other percentages PDT
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The market estimate of 164,500 suitable patients suggests
that if safe and effective PDT treatments were available then annual sales
well in excess of $100 million are possible.
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